BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
-----------------------------------------------
Elkader Central
Class: 2A Class Rank: 102 Conference: (4-13) Overall: (4-17) Overall Strength = 45.21
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/02/2003 Away L 36.58 53 57 1A 90 ( 6-16) Edgewood-Colesburg -8.49 4.49
2 12/05/2003 Home L 28.67 43 56 2A 104 ( 3-19) Arlington Starmont -16.41 3.41
3 12/12/2003 Home L * 42.44 41 59 2A 35 (16- 9) Clayton Ridge -2.63 -15.37
4 12/15/2003 Away W * 40.77 59 56 1A 107 ( 2-20) Maynard West Central -4.31 7.31
5 12/16/2003 Away L * 53.44 44 52 2A 48 (13- 9) Monona MFL MarMac 8.37 -16.37
6 12/19/2003 Home L * 56.56 60 71 1A 7 (20- 4) Elgin Valley 11.48 -22.48
7 01/03/2004 Home L * 46.84 55 65 1A 27 (15- 8) Postville 1.77 -11.77
8 01/09/2004 Home W * 54.13 74 54 1A 109 ( 3-20) Lansing Kee 9.05 10.95
9 01/10/2004 Away L 41.88 46 67 3A 33 (12-10) Waukon -3.19 -17.81
10 01/13/2004 Away L * 43.76 50 67 1A 27 (15- 8) Postville -1.31 -15.69
11 01/16/2004 Home W * 40.85 50 43 1A 107 ( 2-20) Maynard West Central -4.23 11.23
12 01/17/2004 Home L 49.40 48 58 2A 43 (19- 7) North Linn 4.33 -14.33
13 01/20/2004 Away L * 51.44 52 62 2A 51 (12-10) North Fayette 6.37 -16.37
14 01/23/2004 Home W * 73.80 61 50 2A 31 (17- 6) Turkey Valley 28.73 -17.73
15 01/27/2004 Away L * 46.36 39 57 2A 35 (16- 9) Clayton Ridge 1.29 -19.29
16 01/30/2004 Home L * 39.03 41 60 2A 53 (11-13) South Winneshiek -6.04 -12.96
17 02/06/2004 Away L * 42.48 46 75 1A 7 (20- 4) Elgin Valley -2.60 * -26.40
18 02/10/2004 Home L * 46.52 56 67 2A 48 (13- 9) Monona MFL MarMac 1.45 -12.45
19 02/13/2004 Away L * 35.59 43 68 2A 59 (11-11) Sumner -9.49 -15.51
20 02/20/2004 Away L * 32.05 50 56 1A 109 ( 3-20) Lansing Kee -13.03 7.03
21 02/23/2004 Neutral L * 43.99 49 65 2A 53 (11-13) South Winneshiek -1.08 -14.92
Averages 45.08 50.5 60.2
Best game: 73.80 = 11 point win over Jackson Junction Turkey Valley
Worst game: 28.67 = 13 point loss to Arlington Starmont
Team stdev: 9.68